COVID-19: The Hard Numbers
March 31, 2020
How large are the potential health, economic, and financial impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic? We've analyzed the numbers, including possible recovery scenarios.
Category: US Economy
VIDEO: GHPIA’s Coronavirus Town Hall
March 25, 2020
Watch our recent webinar, in which GHPIA team leaders Brian Friedman, Mike Sullivan, and Carin Wagner discussed the economic and financial impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and how GHPIA is...
The Case for Optimism: A Global Economy Retrospective — 1999-2019
December 31, 2019
Despite the volatility and chaos of last 20 years, many people will be surprised to learn that our planet and our country are wealthier and more peaceful than at almost...
The Mighty Consumer to the Rescue
September 30, 2019
What is often lost within the din of negative economic news, the daily Twitter provocations, and stock market volatility is a vibrant U.S. consumer spending backdrop, which could be the...
Are IPOs Partying Like It’s 1999?
June 30, 2019
With innovative companies like Uber, Lyft, Pinterest, Airbnb, Zoom, and Beyond Meat going public in recent months, it feels like 1999 all over again. Except this time is different. Investors...
Slowing Population Growth as an Economic Problem
March 31, 2019
Our standard of living can continue its rise if we continue to invest in capital, technological innovation, and education. Our demographic fears, however, revolve around our ability to finance government...
A Tale of Two Housing Markets: Home Affordability vs. Accessibility
December 31, 2018
Home ownership is part of the American dream, but recent headlines suggest achieving this dream is becoming more expensive. Fortunately, based on the Homebuyer Affordability Index, the American dream is still...
U.S. Economic Strength Pressures Emerging Markets
September 30, 2018
The Fed raising interest rates in recent years has made the US dollar more attractive relative to riskier emerging market currencies. Despite overall weakness of developing countries’ currencies, some have...
The Bear Necessities
September 30, 2018
This August the S&P 500 Index set a record for the longest uninterrupted bull market rally at 9.5 years and counting. Of course, all good things must come to an...
Rising Interest Rates: A Double-Edged Sword
June 30, 2018
The era of ultra-easy monetary policy and low interest rates approaches its end because the economy is the healthiest it has been since the Financial Crisis. Monetary policy tightening should...
Stock Market Volatility – Is it Really That Bad?
March 31, 2018
shaken up. Recent market volatility may startle investors, but it is important to understand its origin and take a historical perspective. Volatility does not necessarily signal a time to sell...